The following data originally appeared in Bravo Group’s Morning Scrapple email newsletter delivered on July 29, 2025. To become a subscriber click here.
Welcome back to Bravo Group’s Morning Scrapple, our snapshot of political opinion from the nation’s most important battleground state.
The dog days of summer are upon us, and in honor of the PA budget, we’re bringing this month’s helping to you a little later than usual. Below you’ll find Pennsylvania voter views on a mix of topics, including tax credits for Pennie, a brand new federal tax credit for us, and what the Justice Department should or shouldn’t do.
Order up.
We’re tracking more than just the heat
Generally speaking, is the United States heading in the right or wrong direction?
U.S. wrong track: 55% (June) → 56% (July)
U.S. right track: 39% (June) → 39% (July)
Generally speaking, is Pennsylvania heading in the right or wrong direction?
PA wrong track: 41% (June) → 44% (July)
PA right track: 35% (June) → 34% (July)
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
Donald Trump, President: 39% (June) → 41% (July) approve
Do you approve or disapprove of the job John Fetterman/Dave McCormick is doing in the US Senate?
Dave McCormick, U.S. Senator: 31% (June) → 33% (July) approve
John Fetterman, U.S. Senator: 45% (June) → 39% (July) approve
If the election for Pennsylvania Governor was held today, who would you vote for?
Vote for Shapiro: 66% (June) → 56% (July)
Issues
Respondents were asked to choose the top three issues most important to them:
Tariff results
How are tariffs placed on products you regularly purchase affecting you?
Tax credits for Pennie
Pennie is Pennsylvania’s health insurance marketplace that helps people who don’t get coverage through an employer. Many Pennie customers qualify for tax credits that lower the cost of their insurance. Some leaders in Washington are debating whether to end those tax credits. If that happens, health insurance could become too expensive for many Pennie users.
What should Pennsylvania’s elected officials do?
Fight to keep the tax credits so Pennie users can afford health insurance — 78%
Let the tax credits end to reduce government spending — 22%
For those who like to slice and dice the data on our interactive dashboard you’ll see that 48% of those who strongly approve of President Trump support fighting to keep the tax credit.
A new federal tax credit for Pennsylvania
A newly created federal tax credit program allows you to get back 100% of what you donate up to $1700. This money will be allocated directly to state-approved scholarship-granting organizations to enhance educational access for K-12 students. To receive this tax credit, your state legislature must “opt in” to the new program.
Would you support Pennsylvania joining the program?
More slicing and dicing — 63% of those who say they’ll definitely vote to reelect Gov. Shapiro support opting-in.
The ABCs of PLAs
Public construction projects are funded by taxpayers and include roads, schools, and government buildings. They are awarded through two primary methods:
- Open Bidding: Any contractor can bid, following a prescribed award process.
- Project Labor Agreements (PLAs): A pre-hire agreement between the project owner and labor unions, setting employment terms.
Which types of contractors have the advantage in getting public construction projects?
Rank the following: How should public construction projects be awarded to benefit PA taxpayers the most?
Most qualified, price-competitive contractor
Top ranked — 53%, Middle — 23%, Bottom — 24%
Contractor with the best safety record
Top ranked — 24%, Middle — 52%, Bottom — 24%
A PLA requiring majority union contracting
Top ranked — 23%, Middle — 26%, Bottom — 51%
Which statement below do you most agree with?
PLAs secure a consistent, skilled union workforce, which helps ensure public construction projects are completed safely, on time, and within budget. — 49%
PLAs drive up costs and exclude approximately 90% of Pennsylvania’s contractors. A level playing field for bidding saves taxpayer money, supports local jobs and delivers quality results for all Pennsylvanians. — 51%
Bipartisan results
Do you think the Justice Department should release all case files related to Jeffrey Epstein to the public?
Each month, we survey Pennsylvania registered voters through digital advertising, randomized text message outreach and email recontact with prior opt-in survey participants. This multichannel recruitment ensures a refreshed and representative respondent pool.
This digital survey of 626 likely Pennsylvania voters was conducted from July 13-18, 2025. Results were weighted by age, gender, and political party to reflect Pennsylvania’s electorate, producing a 95% credibility interval: ±3.88 percentage points.
If you’d like to know more about our methodology or have a question, comment or concern please feel free to email us at morningscrapple@thebravogroup.com
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