The following data originally appeared in Bravo Group’s Morning Scrapple email newsletter delivered on June 19, 2025. To become a subscriber click here
Welcome back to Bravo Group’s Morning Scrapple, our snapshot of political opinion from the nation’s most important battleground state.
This month, we serve up Pennsylvania voter views on a mix of topics, including SNAP, ICE, and the Big Beautiful Bill.
Wondering what contributed to President Trump’s three-point drop? Click below to go beyond the topline and slice and dice the data yourself on our interactive dashboard.
Order up.
Rains continue to dampen PA
Generally speaking, is the United States heading in the right or wrong direction?
U.S. wrong track: 55% (May) → 55% (June)
U.S. right track: 41% (May) → 39% (June)
Generally speaking, is Pennsylvania heading in the right or wrong direction?
PA wrong track: 37% (May) → 41% (June)
PA right track: 41% (May) → 35% (June)
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
Donald Trump, President: 43% (May) → 39% (June) approve
Do you approve or disapprove of the job John Fetterman/Dave McCormick is doing in the US Senate?
John Fetterman, U.S. Senator: 41% (May) → 45% (June) approve
Dave McCormick, U.S. Senator: 37% (May) → 31% (June) approve
If the election for Pennsylvania Governor was held today, who would you vote for?
Vote for Shapiro: 69% (May) → 66% (June)
Issues
Respondents were asked to choose the top three issues most important to them:
‘Big Beautiful Bill’ makes its way to the Senate floor
The recent bill passed by the U.S. House of Representatives is:
SNAP Concerns
SNAP (the EBT card or food stamps) is a food assistance program that helps low-income people pay for groceries. The largest beneficiaries are children and older adults.
Opinion of the SNAP program:
Congress is considering a bill to cut $700 billion from Medicaid and $300 billion from SNAP. Do you support or oppose these cuts?
How concerned would you be if more than 2 million children lost at least some SNAP benefits?
How concerned would you be if more than 7.6 million people lost Medicaid?
Tariff results
How are tariffs placed on products you regularly purchase affecting you?
Understanding energy priorities
The Trump administration plans to expedite natural gas pipeline development for national energy security and cost reductions, sometimes overriding state or local objections regarding environmental, landowner, and community impacts.
This approach means:
National goals are effectively being met while state/local concerns are adequately addressed — 13%
National goals are primarily met, with general consideration for state/local concerns — 19%
National goals often take precedence over fully addressing state/local concerns — 17%
National goals are heavily prioritized, with significant disregard for state/local concerns — 51%
ICE emotions
We combined the picture below with our question to ensure respondents precisely understood the issue.
The image shows ICE agents after an ICE raid conducted in San Diego on May 30, 2025.
What feeling best describes your reaction to this image?
Angry — 20%
Concerned — 18%
Ashamed — 18%
Patriotic — 14%
Hopeful — 11%
Inspired — 6%
Skeptical — 6%
Unmoved — 4%
Confused — 2%
Curious — 2%
Each month, we survey Pennsylvania registered voters through digital advertising, randomized text message outreach and email recontact with prior opt-in survey participants. This multichannel recruitment ensures a refreshed and representative respondent pool.
This digital survey of 626 likely Pennsylvania voters was conducted from June 10-16, 2025. Results were weighted by age, gender, and political party to reflect Pennsylvania’s electorate, producing a 95% credibility interval: ±4 percentage points.
If you’d like to know more about our methodology or have a question, comment or concern please feel free to email us at morningscrapple@thebravogroup.com
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