The following data originally appeared in Bravo Group’s Morning Scrapple email newsletter delivered on October 23, 2025. To become a subscriber click here.
Welcome back to Bravo Group’s Morning Scrapple, our snapshot of political opinion from the nation’s most important battleground state.
Below, you’ll find Pennsylvania voters’ views and data on our political environment on a variety of topics. They include — who voters blame for the federal government shutdown, who’s to blame for the PA budget impasse, and how both affect the lives of the Commonwealth’s residents.
Order Up.
October approvals
Generally speaking, is the United States heading in the right or wrong direction?
U.S. wrong track: 60% (September) → 57% (October)
U.S. right track: 35% (September) → 38% (October)
Generally speaking, is Pennsylvania heading in the right or wrong direction?
PA wrong track: 40% (September) → 37% (October)
PA right track: 35% (September) → 40% (October)
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
Donald Trump, President: 42% (September) → 42% (October) approve
Do you approve or disapprove of the job John Fetterman/Dave McCormick is doing in the US Senate?
Dave McCormick, U.S. Senator: 35% (September) → 41% (October) approve
John Fetterman, U.S. Senator: 38% (September) → 46% (October) approve
If the election for Pennsylvania Governor was held today, who would you vote for?
Vote for Shapiro: 58% (September) → 63% (October)
Issues
Respondents were asked to choose the top three issues most important to them:
For the first time (which you can do yourself on our dashboard) Healthcare jumps the Economy with a six point bump since September…
Which makes sense considering…
To what extent, if at all, has the current federal government shutdown made you concerned about the future cost of your health care insurance premiums?
…blame is just what the doctored ordered
Who do you think is MOST responsible for the federal government shutdown?
PA budget stalemate
Who do you think is MOST responsible for the Pennsylvania state budget impasse, which is now more than three months delayed?
Stalemate impact
How does the Pennsylvania state budget impasse affect your business, organization or family?
Election turnout in November
How motivated are you to vote, if at all, in the November election for state and county judges, and local officials?
Tariff results
How are tariffs placed on products you regularly purchase affecting you?
Each month, we survey Pennsylvania registered voters through digital advertising, randomized text message outreach and email recontact with prior opt-in survey participants. This multichannel recruitment ensures a refreshed and representative respondent pool.
This digital survey of 626 likely Pennsylvania voters was conducted from October 8-11, 2025. Results were weighted by age, gender, and political party to reflect Pennsylvania’s electorate, producing a 95% credibility interval: ±4.2 percentage points.
If you’d like to know more about our methodology or have a question, comment or concern please feel free to email us at morningscrapple@thebravogroup.com
Thank you for supporting Morning Scrapple!
